Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 3.959044 4.567966 5.237218 6.027087 6.933640 7.941413 9.146653
2024-12-29 3.234404 4.059956 5.043503 6.300681 7.864286 9.744607 12.177716
2025-01-05 2.685643 3.628971 4.834798 6.487003 8.690440 11.526822 15.455733
2025-01-12 2.212135 3.193884 4.530640 6.479868 9.246641 13.030828 18.600002
2025-01-19 1.756121 2.693709 4.046038 6.132993 9.267879 13.797793 20.840195
2025-01-26 1.558576 2.525205 3.993855 6.379178 10.149557 15.873299 25.220028
2025-02-02 1.440154 2.453409 4.067969 6.815722 11.365672 18.590271 30.927326
2025-02-09 1.285197 2.294799 3.976804 6.967102 12.138109 20.699565 35.940232
2025-02-16 1.144318 2.135424 3.857014 7.045438 12.787151 22.671945 40.963931
2025-02-23 0.987028 1.920997 3.609099 6.859445 12.942279 23.809013 44.669947
2025-03-02 0.837762 1.697259 3.310739 6.534611 12.792773 24.372473 47.389898
2025-03-09 0.760679 1.600029 3.232447 6.608849 13.390461 26.355721 52.975409
2025-03-16 0.663615 1.451175 3.039965 6.445605 13.530920 27.540895 57.280657
2025-03-23 0.631617 1.432698 3.105388 6.813287 14.786518 31.058035 66.694170
2025-03-30 0.591056 1.389420 3.113306 7.061630 15.828891 34.277867 75.925533
2025-04-06 0.536254 1.305579 3.022348 7.082377 16.385595 36.558156 83.464750
2025-04-13 0.460518 1.161053 2.776374 6.720145 16.043575 36.870174 86.739412
2025-04-20 0.437424 1.139060 2.806665 6.999673 17.201994 40.624945 98.246899
2025-04-27 0.428358 1.150403 2.916783 7.484433 18.907176 45.824073 113.762603
2025-05-04 0.401379 1.111604 2.899739 7.654432 19.873280 49.420338 125.920369
2025-05-11 0.372686 1.063703 2.853119 7.742814 20.647501 52.650502 137.592298
2025-05-18 0.333180 0.980018 2.702761 7.540197 20.650211 53.989810 144.693106
2025-05-25 0.291748 0.884077 2.506042 7.184546 20.199869 54.128127 148.705608